Anthropic Reveals Jobs Most Threatened by AI

Anthropic and the Impact of AI on Employment

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) across various sectors raises concerns about its potential impact on employment. To address these worries, Anthropic, a company specializing in AI, recently introduced a new method for assessing the exposure of jobs to automation by AI. This method is based on a combination of theoretical analyses and real-world data derived from the use of their products, including Claude and the Anthropic API.

Traditionally, a job's exposure to AI is calculated based on the AI's ability to replace humans in tasks associated with that job. However, Anthropic emphasizes that discrepancies can exist between the theoretical capabilities of AI and its actual usage. These discrepancies may arise from model limitations, legal constraints, specific software requirements, or human verification steps.

An Innovative Assessment Method

Anthropic's new approach takes into account not only the theoretical capacity of AI to automate tasks but also real usage data. An illustrative graph shows the difference between the theoretical capabilities of AI for a job and that job's actual exposure to automation.

Anthropic aims to establish a method for measuring the impact of AI on employment and to regularly reassess these analyses. While this approach may not capture all the channels through which AI could transform the labor market, it already provides valuable insights.

The Most and Least Exposed Jobs

According to Anthropic's methodology, computer programmers and customer service representatives are among the jobs most exposed to automation by AI. In contrast, certain jobs, representing about 30% of workers, are considered to be the least threatened. Among these are cooks, motorcycle mechanics, lifeguards, and bartenders.

Anthropic hopes that this new method will reliably identify future economic disruptions before they manifest significantly. The company compares these potential disruptions to those caused by the rise of the internet or trade with China, rather than to abrupt shocks like the COVID pandemic.

In summary, Anthropic offers an innovative approach to assessing the impact of AI on employment by integrating both theoretical capabilities and real usage of AI. This method could prove crucial for anticipating and managing upcoming economic transformations.