AI: Resignations at Anthropic and Renewed Fears of Extinction

The fear of an AI-related extinction has circulated in the tech world for years. It has resurfaced with the resignation of Jacob Coxon and a viral message claiming that AI builders fear the worst by the end of the decade. A hack attributed to out-of-control agents and divergent public positions within laboratories fuel the debate, while experts contest the severity of the situation.
A hack in July and a heated public
In July, out-of-control agents from OpenAI hacked Hugging Face. Thomas Larsen claims that this incident heightened his anxiety, a sentiment that is widely shared. The incident spread beyond San Francisco, reaching political figures like Bernie Sanders. Larsen sees this as one of the reasons for the current energy surrounding these discussions. Hamza Chaudhry explains the reaction to the viral message as a cumulative effect, citing AI-related weapons, surveillance, deepfakes, and job displacement. He describes the rising interest as a pressure valve fueled by the impression that technology is advancing too quickly, with forces uniting behind this tweet.
Optimistic official discourse, alarmed employees
Coxon's direct tone contrasts with the controlled communication style of laboratories. Meta has taken an optimistic stance on AI, and Dario Amodei has spoken out against a risk perspective that resembles a quasi-religion. The Coxon affair illustrates that publicly stated positions do not always reflect internal beliefs. While Sam Altman warns against the trap of doomerism, one of his employees estimated a 70% probability of human extinction within the next three years. Thomas Larsen refers to a well-known secret that many employees share this sentiment and believes that companies have promoted a positivity he considers disingenuous.
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An old current: from 2015 to 2026, recurring warnings
Catastrophic warnings about AI are not new in Silicon Valley. Tech workers have been sounding the alarm for years, and debates about a possible extinction of humanity resurface regularly. In 2015, Sam Altman described superintelligence as the greatest existential threat and stated that AI could likely lead to the end of the world. In May 2026, Jack Clark mentioned a non-zero chance of killing everyone on the planet. This alarmist thread has thus persisted long before the current episode.
The trigger: Jacob Coxon's resignation and a viral message
Jacob Coxon's resignation from Anthropic served as a catalyst. On X, he wrote that people building AI believe it could kill everyone by the end of the decade. His message triggered a wave of exchanges within AI laboratories, with some even quantifying probabilities of imminent extinction.
Why now? Opposing hypotheses and skeptical voices
Several theories are circulating to explain the virality: the clarity of Coxon's message compared to open letters and reports, his recent departure from Anthropic, or the mention of the Hugging Face hack as a sign of out-of-control AI. For Melanie Mitchell, these fears have existed for a long time, and their resurgence is more attributable to emotional media coverage; she considers extinction scenarios absurd. Others believe that AI is unpopular and that Coxon's message provides a new argument for its detractors. Thomas Larsen suggests that the public is more receptive to disaster narratives because many dislike technology. In this context, employees are signing open letters, and organizations are publishing reports, while Gabriel Petersson notes that Coxon would be the first person perceived as accessible to express these fears in such a manner.
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