Ukraine to Deploy AI Model to Predict Russian Drones

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Key Takeaways

1Ukraine plans to integrate an AI model co-developed with NATO into DELTA to anticipate the use of Russian drones, announced ready after validation on real data.

2DELTA already includes the Vezha AI module and has over 200,000 users.

3A second model dedicated to artillery is under development and being tested in prototype.

💡Why it matters — The integration of AI aims to enhance Ukraine's ability to anticipate and counter Russian drone strikes on the front.

Ukrainian forces plan to introduce an AI model capable of predicting the use of Russian drones with "high probability." The system, developed in collaboration with NATO and announced as ready for integration, is set to be incorporated into DELTA, which already has an operational AI module. A second model dedicated to artillery is currently in testing.

DELTA Already Equipped and a New Model Ready for Integration

According to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, the solution has been validated on real data, refined, and declared ready for integration into the operational situational awareness systems of the Armed Forces. It is designed to fit into DELTA, the battlefield management application that aggregates intelligence from drones, cameras, and ground reports for visualization on tablets or phones. DELTA already incorporates an AI module, Vezha. Ukraine claims that this module can automatically detect and report Russian equipment within seconds using satellite images, drone feeds, and radio signals. In November, the ministry reported over 200,000 users of DELTA.

Joint Development with NATO and Support from JATEC

The Ukrainian ministry states that Model No. 13 was developed in collaboration with NATO. More specifically, the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the Allied Command Transformation designed the tool with the support of the Joint Analysis, Training, and Education Center (JATEC). This center was established by the alliance in late 2024 to support innovation drawn from lessons learned in the conflict.

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What Model No. 13 Promises Regarding Russian Drones

The model is presented as capable of analyzing battlefield data to anticipate how, where, and when Russia will conduct strikes. The ministry specifies that it utilizes combat histories, weather parameters, and terrain conditions to estimate, with "high probability," the uses of drones by Russian troops. The announced predictions cover the timing, location, intensity, and type of unmanned aerial vehicle likely to be employed.

Adoption Timeline and Second Model for Artillery

Kiev is preparing to deploy this tool and indicated on Tuesday that forces would begin using it to anticipate Russian drone strikes. Meanwhile, a Model No. 32 dedicated to planning artillery deployments is being jointly developed, with a prototype currently being tested by Ukrainian troops. Ukrainian officials had also stated in February that forces had been working since the previous year with AI and machine learning models to process combat data for "threat forecasting."